Redrow, the housebuilder, has dismissed fears of further falls in property prices even as it appealed to regulators to pave the way for the return of 95 per cent mortgages.
In the wake of figures from both Nationwide and Halifax showing a surprise tumble in house prices last month, Steve Morgan, the group’s chairman, said a chronic shortage of housing would protect Britain from a property crash.
“It’s cheaper to buy than rent and that proves there’s an undersupply,” he said. “Unlike the US, where prices have dropped, this undersupply will prevent house prices from falling.” Prices are likely to remain broadly flat over the next few years, he added.
Despite this, the housebuilder conceded that parts of the country had not recovered from the 2008 slump. In a sign of the growing north/south housing market divide, Redrow has pulled out of Scotland and established a new London division as its seeks to capitalise on premium properties in the south-east.
The south now accounts for 36 per cent of its plots, up from 32 per cent last year, with construction due to start at a riverside site in Kingston-upon-Thames, and work already under way on six houses in Ealing in west London.
Sale prices for Redrow’s own homes rose 12.5 per cent over the 12 months to June 30, from an average of £154,800 ($247,208) to £174,100 as the group moved away from flats and towards more expensive houses.
In February 2010, the group launched A New Heritage Collection, a range of two- to four-bedroom houses that accounted for 41 per cent of total sales in the second half of the year. These drove pre-tax profits from £700,000 last year to £25.3m this year as the average selling price rose 11 per cent to £201,000.
The cancellation rate for purchases was 18 per cent, broadly in line with last year, as potential purchasers failed to secure mortgages. The housebuilding industry is locked in talks to find ways of persuading the banks to lend again at 95 per cent loan-to-value ratios, leaving buyers to fund deposits of 5 per cent.
Mr Morgan urged the government to introduce new legislation that would encourage the launch of mortgage insurance indemnity schemes. He said he himself took out a 95 per cent mortgage to buy his first home, as did his son.
While rival housebuilders Berkeley Group and Bovis have also recently reported strong profit improvements analysts cautioned that the next few months remain critical for the sector.
Aynsley Lammin, analyst at Citi, warned: “All eyes will be on the autumn selling season now to see how trading holds up in the face of continued macroeconomic uncertainty.”
Source: FT